thisislocallondon– Italy, Germany and Poland are among the destinations most likely to be added to the Government’s green travel list, according to an analyst.
Robert Boyle, former director of strategy at British Airways’ parent company IAG, predicted that 12 countries could be put in the low-risk tier this week.
He wrote on his website www.gridpoint.consulting that this includes nine European countries which are all “strong candidates”, consisting of Austria, Bulgaria, Germany, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Slovakia and Switzerland.
The Government’s travel lists are expected to be updated on Thursday.
People arriving in the UK from green list destinations are not required to self-isolate.
Those travelling from an amber location must self-isolate at home for 10 days, although that requirement will be lifted on Monday for people arriving in England who have received both doses of a coronavirus vaccine in the UK, or are under 18 years old.
Mr Boyle described Canada as his “top prediction” for moving into the green tier, as it has low rates of coronavirus cases and test positivity, and its vaccine rollout programme is “catching up fast” to the UK’s.
But he noted that the North American country does not allow visitors from the UK.
He wrote: “It is hard to see a better candidate for the green list.
“The Canadian authorities continue to bar entry to Canada to British nationals.
“But so do Australia and New Zealand and they are on the green list.
“It may be a matter of timing though, as I’m sure politicians would prefer to announce a simultaneous relaxation of travel restrictions.”
Before the pandemic, around 724,000 British nationals visited Canada annually.
On the prospect of the US being added to the green list, Mr Boyle stated that “the figures still look a little high”.
But the positivity rate for people arriving in the UK from the US, combined with the latter’s vaccination programme, mean there is “some political wiggle room for including it as green if a deal gets done on reopening the US border”, he added.